{"id":1376,"date":"2024-04-09T01:05:45","date_gmt":"2024-04-08T17:05:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/applelatest.com\/uncategorized\/1376.html"},"modified":"2024-04-09T01:05:45","modified_gmt":"2024-04-08T17:05:45","slug":"%e6%91%a9%e6%a0%b9%e5%a3%ab%e4%b8%b9%e5%88%a9%e7%a8%b1%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e8%b5%b0%e5%8b%a2%e8%a1%a8%e6%98%8e%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f-%e4%b8%8d%e8%91%97%e9%99%b8-%e7%9a%84%e4%bf%a1%e5%94%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/applelatest.com\/en\/stocks\/1376.html","title":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley Says Stock Movements Point to 'No Landing' Beliefs for Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<div contentscore=\"2483\">\n<p>By Lewis Krauskopf<\/p>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Recent moves in the U.S. stock market suggest investors are beginning to price in a \"no landing\" scenario for the economy, where growth is expected to pick up, Morgan Stanley's equity strategist said on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>For months, investors have been bracing for a \"soft landing\" in the economy, recognizing that economic growth is sluggish and inflation is coming down from its highs.<\/p>\n<div id=\"caas-article-client-rmp-s1\" data-wf-replace=\"1\" data-wf-state-body='{\"ctrl\":\"SubscriptionMonalixa\",\"m_id\":\"react-wafer-subscription\",\"m_mode\":\"json\",\"module\":\"articlePremUpsell\",\"config\":{\"apiVersion\":\"2\",\"pageContext\":\"[state.publisherBlobPageContext]\",\"placement\":\"finance-banner-inarticle\",\"appid\":\"e2423aea-ed6b-4493-ba57-7d159894084c\"}}' data-wf-retry-count=\"2\" data-wf-timeout=\"5000\" data-wf-trigger=\"viewport\" data-wf-trigger-offset=\"600 0\" data-wf-url=\"\/fp_ms\/_rcv\/remote?m_id=react-wafer-subscription&#038;ctrl=SubscriptionMonalixa&#038;module=articlePremUpsell&#038;site=finance&#038;device=desktop&#038;lang=en-US\u00aeion=US&#038;rid=7tvgtrdj188us&#038;m_mode=json\"><\/div>\n<p>\"However, macro data and equity market leadership have begun to support a non-landing outcome,\" Morgan Stanley strategists led by Michael Wilson said in a report.<\/p>\n<p>Strong economic data and a higher-than-expected inflation report also lowered expectations for a Fed rate cut. On Monday, Fed fund futures traders are betting on a total of 62 basis points in aggregate rate cuts this year, down from 150 basis points expected in January.<\/p>\n<p>Sectors typically associated with economic growth, such as financials, energy and industrials, have performed strongly so far this year, outpacing the S&amp;P 500's 9% gain in 2024, while materials-another economically sensitive sector-has also performed well.<\/p>\n<p>This strength is in stark contrast to last year, when technology and growth-oriented Big Rock stocks accounted for the bulk of the index's gains.<\/p>\n<p>\"Cyclical sectors have led the expansion of this trend ...... This supports the view that the stock market is beginning to create a better environment for growth,\" Morgan Stanley said in its report.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley strategists note that while cyclically sensitive stocks and sectors have begun to outperform the broader rock, quality remains a key attribute for the leaders.<\/p>\n<p>The emphasis on quality, they said, \"makes sense in the context of a re-acceleration of growth that is still late in the cycle rather than early in the cycle\".<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley says that if the growth spurt is early in the cycle, then the performance of small-cap and low-quality cyclical stocks will be more persistent.<\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<p>The small-cap Russell 2000 index has risen only 2.4% this year.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley said the move in Treasury yields could also have an impact on the performance of the economically sensitive part of the market. 10-year Treasury yields were last reported at 4.42%, above Morgan Stanley's previously stated level of 4.35%, where the stock market is likely to be even more sensitive to yields.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div data-wf-benji-page-context='{\"pageUrl\":\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/stock-moves-suggest-belief-no-165033446.html\",\"spaceid\":\"1183300103\",\"site\":\"finance\",\"hashtag\":\"investments;finance\",\"lmsid\":\"a0770000002GZ5iAAG\",\"lpstaid\":\"1534228d-49b4-34d7-bf24-342b9f2926e8\",\"pct\":\"story\"}' data-wf-benji-wafer-config='{\"updateI13n\":true}' data-wf-benji-config='{\"positions\":{\"INARTICLE-1534228d-49b4-34d7-bf24-342b9f2926e81712595933146\":{\"id\":\"INARTICLE-1534228d-49b4-34d7-bf24-342b9f2926e81712595933146\",\"path\":\"\/22888152279\/${REGION}\/yfin\/ros\/dt\/${REGION}_yfin_ros_dt_mid_center\",\"region\":\"index\",\"size\":\"fluid\",\"kvs\":{\"loc\":\"mid_center\"},\"disableRefresh\":true}}}' id=\"sda-INARTICLE-1534228d-49b4-34d7-bf24-342b9f2926e81712595933146\" data-wf-trigger=\"onLoad\" data-wf-margin=\"100 0\" data-hide-ad-string>\n<div id=\"INARTICLE-1534228d-49b4-34d7-bf24-342b9f2926e81712595933146\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Strategists said lower yields could prompt the market to turn on a wider range of cyclical stocks, but \"once yields move higher, it could put us back into a narrow market system.\"<\/p>\n<p>(Reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Bill Berkrot)<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\uff08Morgan Stanley\uff09\u80a1\u7968\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u5468\u4e00\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u958b\u59cb\u5c0d &#8220;\u4e0d\u8457\u9678 &#8220;\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u60c5\u666f\u9032\u884c\u5b9a\u50f9\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u666f\u6d89\u53ca\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u7684\u9810\u671f\u5efb\u965e\u3002  &#8220;\u9081\u5c05\u723e-\u5a01\u723e\u905c\uff08Michael Wilson\uff09\u9818\u5c0e\u7684\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u8aaa\uff1a&#8221;\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5b8f\u89c0\u6578\u64da\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u9818\u5c0e\u529b\u5df2\u7d93\u958b\u59cb\u652f\u6301\u4e0d\u8457\u9678\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002  \u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u548c\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684\u901a\u8139\u5831\u544a\u4e5f\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5c0d\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[55],"tags":[1073,607,590,130],"blocksy_meta":"","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v19.6 (Yoast SEO v19.12) - 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